UFC Baku is less than 24 hours away …
It all goes down this weekend (Sat., June 27, 2026) inside the Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan. In the main event, No. 11-ranked UFC Lightweight Rafael Fiziev returns to action this weekend against Mexican knockout artist Manuel Torres in what should be a violent fight.
We have a weekly series at MMAmania.com called “Weekend Lock,” where we share one bet that we predict will slap in Baku when the chaotic dust settles. We also want to hear what our readers think (that’s you!), so please tell us your most confident UFC Baku betting lock in the comments section below (see full UFC Baku odds here).
Last week’s recap: We got back in the win column as Bia Mesquita tapped out Melissa Mullins in the very first round (watch highlights).
Let’s keep rolling below:
On the main card, Azerbaijan’s own Nazim Sadykhov welcomes dangerous Brazilian prospect Matheus Camilo in what has all the makings of a show-stealer.
This week, I’m locking in Sadykhov vs. Camilo Under 2.5 Rounds (-166).
If you’ve watched Sadykhov fight, you already know exactly what you’re getting.
The last time he fought in front of his home crowd, the building erupted as he and Nikolas Motta put on one of the best fights of the year (watch highlights). Sadykhov simply refuses to take a backward step. He pressures relentlessly, absorbs damage, and keeps marching forward until somebody breaks.
Sadykhov owns a 91 percent finish rate and has gone to the judges just twice in his professional career. Win or lose, his fights rarely hear the final horn.
Camilo isn’t much different.
While he hasn’t recorded a finish through his first two UFC appearances, he’s every bit as aggressive. He carries real knockout power, but his best attribute is arguably his grappling. He’s constantly hunting opportunities, and in just his third UFC fight, he’ll be competing in the biggest spotlight of his career.
His UFC debut against Gabe Green showed both sides of his game. Camilo dominated the early stages and looked fantastic, but emptied the gas tank before ultimately getting stopped. That kind of all-action approach usually doesn’t lead to slow, tactical fights.
There’s even a strange bit of MMA math here.
Sadykhov went life and death with Viacheslav Borshchev to a memorable draw, while Camilo picked up a unanimous decision over Borshchev. MMA math is usually nonsense, but it does reinforce that these two belong in the same conversation competitively.
Stylistically, this feels combustible. If Camilo chooses to grapple, he’ll have opportunities against a fighter who has been submitted before—albeit only in his professional debut. If he decides to stand, Sadykhov will happily oblige.
Either way, someone is getting stopped before the fight ends.
Camilo may decide the safest path is to wrestle conservatively and manage his cardio after fading badly against Green. Likewise, Sadykhov has shown he can survive adversity and dig deep into competitive fights.
Still, given both men’s aggressive styles, Sadykhov’s incredible finishing rate, and the electric atmosphere awaiting the hometown hero, Sadykhov vs. Camilo Under 2.5 Rounds (-166) looks like one of the strongest plays on the UFC Baku card.
Nazim Sadykhov To Win By KO/TKO/DQ: +150
Nazim Sadykhov To Win By Submission: +550
Nazim Sadykhov To Win By Decision: +275
Matheus Camilo To Win By KO/TKO/DQ: +450
Matheus Camilo by Submission: +1100
Matheus Camilo To Win By Decision: +650
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