The Spurs can point to missed threes, a 32-8 home record and the runs that chipped into Oklahoma City’s leads in Game 5. None of it carries them past elimination if Victor Wembanyama stays stuck in the Thunder’s traffic at the rim.
Game 5 narrowed the issue
Wembanyama finished Game 5 with 20 points on 4-of-15 shooting, with only eight of those points coming in the paint. He didn’t attempt a shot until more than three minutes in and never found a rhythm as Oklahoma City pulled away to a 127-114 win and a 3-2 series lead.
Mitch Johnson put the fix plainly afterward: “He has to take more than 15 shots.” Stephon Castle said the same in fewer words, calling for an aggressive version of his center.
Oklahoma City’s bigs have changed the shot map
Isaiah Hartenstein has anchored that wall. NBA tracking data had Wembanyama at 1-of-9 from the field with Hartenstein as the primary defender in Game 5, part of a scheme that rotates Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso to protect the rim while staying attached to shooters.
The coverage has pushed Wembanyama into patient reads and long jumpers. In an elimination game, San Antonio needs his shot volume to bend the defense rather than settle for what it gives him.
The series splits track his aggression
In San Antonio’s two wins, Wembanyama averaged 37 points and 16 rebounds on 53.2% shooting, anchored by a 41-point, 24-rebound double-overtime opener that drew Wilt Chamberlain comparisons. In the three losses, he dropped to 22.3 points on 43.5% shooting.
The aggressive version pries open the rest of the offense, with shooters getting cleaner looks once he draws the defense in. That is the version Castle was asking for.
What Game 6 asks
San Antonio has the home floor, a clean injury report and a Game 4 blowout that showed how hard its defense can play with the season closing in. Oklahoma City answers as the defending champion, holding a 3-2 lead even while Ajay Mitchell sits and Jalen Williams stays questionable after missing three games.
The night turns on whether Wembanyama forces the Thunder to guard him at the rim, on the move and early in the clock. Without that, Oklahoma City’s path to closing out the series and a second straight Finals trip gets far simpler than the Spurs can afford.
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